Tropical Storm Dorian to Approach Leewards Sunday

Dorian could bring tropical storm conditions to the Leeward Islands Sunday and may approach the southeastern U.S. late next week.
A tropical system that moved off the coast of Africa last weekend became a tropical storm Wednesday and strengthened a bit Wednesday night into Thursday morning over the central Atlantic.
A slightly north of west path is forecast with Dorian through this weekend into early next week, most likely taking the center of feature just north of the Lesser Antilles.
Conditions in the Leeward Islands this weekend will depend upon the exact path and strength of the tropical storm. There is a possibility of gusty, drenching squalls developing in the area Sunday into Monday, even if the system just misses to the north.
Many of the islands of the northern Caribbean have received above-average rainfall since April. San Juan, P.R., has received nearly 44 inches of rain since April 1. A tropical disturbance brought nearly 10 inches of rain to the area recently, during July 17-18, so a system bringing a dose of heavy rainfall would bring an elevated risk of flash flooding and mudslides.
According to AccuWeather.com Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski, "The vast area of dry air surrounding the system to start the week has diminished and would tend to favor strengthening during the middle of the week."

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