Matt Gertken explains geopolitical impact on investment

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    Nations will wish to favor competition over cooperation as the global economy recovers from COVID-19, as per GlobalData. The leading data and analytics company notes that some sectors — including 5G, semiconductors, pharmaceuticals and batteries — will remain a volatile space for geopolitics for years to come. The ‘Tech, Media and Telecoms Predictions 2022’, reveals that semiconductors and critical minerals will remain key geopolitical battlegrounds in 2022, with the US and China intensifying their fight for dominance over many of the core tech industries and mineral resources that support them. These industries will remain critical drivers of the global economy for decades to come and so the countries that lead in them will own the 21st century. In 2022 the global dependency on the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) will remain a chokepoint for the global tech economy. US chip sanctions will impede China in the short term, but these sanctions have led China to invest over $1.4 trillion into advanced tech, including efforts to create a domestic semiconductor champion of their own. As a result, US sanctions will have had the unintended consequence of allowing China to become a global and self-sufficient semiconductor player in the long term. China’s lead in many advanced tech sectors is glaring, and US and European policymakers are starting to wake up to the implications of being behind on core technologies.

    GlobalData estimates that the global chip shortage will continue long into 2022, but will improve in H2 as US and European semiconductor firms increase their capacity. China’s dominance of critical minerals, especially those used in clean energy technologies, is akin to the kind of stranglehold that OPEC has had over oil in the past. As the minerals grow in importance due to the necessity of the climate transition, the need to develop a resilient and secure supply chain will become impossible to ignore. Consequently, 2022 will see Wester

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    Under financial globalization, in view of ever-changing factors of the external economic and geopolitical environment, the modern economy dictates new rules of conduct at all levels, which results in the revision of conventional financial theories.

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Published on: Jan 12, 2019
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Matt Gertken, Vice President, Geopolitical Strategy, BCA Research Inc. talking about how to become a better investor. On the sidelines of 9th investment conference of CFA society of India

#sensex#businessnews#economynews#economictimes#ETMarkets#stockmarket#Stocks#Nifty50#investment#9thinvestmentconference#CFAsocietyofIndia


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    #InvestmentUncertainty
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